Market Overview
Global
Natural
Gas-Fired Electricity Generation Market was valued at USD 44.75
Billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 56.05 Billion by 2030 with a CAGR
of 3.67% during the forecast period.
The global
natural gas-fired electricity generation market plays a central role in the
evolving global energy landscape, bridging the gap between traditional fossil
fuels and renewable energy sources. Natural gas has become the preferred fossil
fuel for power generation due to its relatively lower carbon emissions compared
with coal and oil, along with its ability to provide flexible, reliable, and
cost-effective electricity. The market has witnessed strong expansion in recent
years, driven by rising global energy demand, ongoing urbanization, industrial
development, and the need for grid stability in regions with rapidly growing
renewable penetration. Governments and utilities across developed and emerging
economies are increasingly turning to natural gas-fired power plants as a
transitional solution to decarbonization, leveraging the fuel’s ability to
complement intermittent solar and wind resources. Advanced technologies such as
combined cycle gas turbines (CCGTs) and cogeneration are enabling higher efficiency
and reduced emissions, further strengthening the market’s role in the global
power mix.
Key Market Drivers
Rising Global Electricity
Demand
The steady growth in global
electricity consumption is a major driver for natural gas-fired generation. Global
electricity demand increased by nearly 4.3% in 2024, up from 2.5% in 2023,
reflecting accelerated urbanization and industrial activity. Buildings alone
contributed over 600 terawatt-hours (TWh) of additional demand, accounting for
nearly 60% of the total increase. Industrial demand also grew by almost 4%
year-on-year, as heavy industries such as steel, chemicals, and cement expanded
output. The transportation sector is adding new layers of demand, with
global electric vehicle sales surpassing 17 million units in 2024, up from
fewer than 14 million in 2023—all of which require reliable charging
infrastructure. In India, monthly natural gas consumption rose by 24% in 2023,
reaching 5.8 billion cubic meters (BCM), with power generation alone recording a
34% increase. Globally, population growth and the rapid digitalization of
economies are also pushing electricity consumption higher, particularly from
data centers, which are projected to double their power use within the next
decade. Natural gas-fired power plants, with their ability to deliver large
volumes of electricity on demand, are central to meeting this accelerating
requirement.
Need for Grid Flexibility
to Support Renewables
The rapid integration of
solar and wind energy has created a pressing need for grid stability, and
natural gas-fired generation provides the most effective solution. Combined-cycle
gas turbine (CCGT) plants built between 2010 and 2022 averaged a capacity
factor of about 64%, compared to 55% for those from the 2000s and only 35% for
plants from the 1990s, highlighting efficiency improvements. Fleet averages for
CCGT plants rose from 40% in 2008 to 57% in 2022, showing greater utilization.
Heat rates for modern CCGT units average around 6,960 Btu/kWh, equivalent to
nearly 49% thermal efficiency, which is about 7% more efficient than older
plants. Even simple-cycle gas turbine units, traditionally used for peaking
power, exceeded the 20% capacity factor mark for the first time in 2022,
underscoring their growing role in balancing intermittent renewables. On the
demand side, global natural gas consumption rebounded by 2.8% in 2024, driven
by power sector requirements to fill renewable intermittency gaps. With their
quick ramp-up capability, natural gas plants provide essential load-following
and reserve capacity, ensuring energy security as renewables expand.
Expansion of Natural Gas
Supply and LNG Infrastructure
The growth in natural gas
supply and liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure is enabling wider
adoption of gas-fired power generation. Global LNG demand is expected to
rise by around 60% by 2040, reaching between 630 and 718 million metric tons
per year. In 2024 alone, global gas demand expanded by 2.8%, with major
consumption increases recorded in Asia, North America, and the Middle East.
Russia reported consumption growth of more than 6% during the year, while the
U.S. accounted for about 22% of global demand, reflecting strong reliance on
natural gas for its power sector. India recorded a sharp jump in monthly
gas use, hitting 5.8 BCM, largely due to higher requirements in power
generation and industrial facilities. Meanwhile, LNG export and regasification
capacity worldwide is being scaled up, with additional terminals increasing the
flexibility of gas trade across regions. As infrastructure develops, LNG
enables countries without domestic pipeline access to secure stable supplies,
making gas-fired power plants more attractive. This combination of abundant
supply and expanding LNG logistics underpins the long-term role of gas in
electricity generation.
Regulatory Pressure and
Technology Advancements
Environmental regulations
and technological innovation are pushing natural gas-fired power generation
forward. The global market for gas turbine upgrades is valued at over USD 19
billion in 2025, with North America alone accounting for more than 40% of
revenues. Emission standards are increasingly strict, with modern turbines
being designed to reduce nitrogen oxides (NOₓ) to below 15 parts per million
(ppm). Technological retrofits, such as advanced turbine blade coatings, can
improve durability and efficiency by 8–12%, often delivering returns on
investment of up to 200% within five years. New turbine models also offer
greater fuel flexibility, with some designed to operate on 30% hydrogen blends,
and demand for such turbines has grown by more than 40% since 2022. Heat
recovery steam generators and combined heat and power (CHP) systems can
increase overall plant efficiency to more than 70%, meeting both power and
industrial heat requirements. These improvements allow natural gas-fired plants
to comply with regulations, extend asset life, and align with decarbonization
pathways, ensuring continued adoption globally.
Economic Competitiveness
and Fuel Switching Dynamics
The economics of natural
gas-fired power are a strong driver for the market, particularly in regions
facing high coal costs or carbon penalties. In OECD countries, gas-fired
power generation increased by 8.8% year-on-year in early 2025, showing its cost
competitiveness despite coal temporarily rising by 14%. Global domestic natural
gas consumption grew by 2.8% in 2024, partly because gas prices dropped by
around 15% compared with 2023 levels, making generation more affordable.
Efficiency gains from new turbines also reduce costs: modern CCGT plants with
heat rates of about 6,960 Btu/kWh are roughly 7% more fuel-efficient than those
built in previous decades. In the U.S., simple-cycle turbines exceeded the
20% capacity factor threshold for the first time in 2022, demonstrating their
expanded economic role beyond just peaking plants. In India, gas demand for
power generation surged by 34% year-on-year, highlighting utilities’ preference
for gas when it aligns with seasonal demand profiles and relative pricing. These
dynamics make gas-fired power a flexible and competitive option, especially
when carbon pricing or emissions limits penalize coal more heavily.
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Key
Market Challenges
Volatility
in Natural Gas Prices
One of the most pressing
challenges for the global natural gas-fired electricity generation market is
the volatility of natural gas prices. Unlike renewable sources with near-zero
fuel costs, gas-fired plants are heavily exposed to price fluctuations in international
gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG) markets. For instance, global LNG spot
prices rose by more than 400% between 2021 and 2022, before correcting by
around 50% in 2023, reflecting sensitivity to geopolitical shocks, supply
disruptions, and seasonal demand swings. Power producers relying on imported
LNG in Asia often pay two to three times more than domestic producers in
gas-rich regions such as North America or the Middle East. This disparity
limits the competitiveness of gas plants, especially in countries with
regulated power tariffs, where utilities are unable to pass on higher costs to
consumers. Even in developed markets, electricity prices have surged due to
fuel price spikes, leading to political and regulatory backlash. Volatility also
discourages long-term investment in new capacity, as financial models become
harder to sustain without hedging or subsidies. Developing economies, where
affordability is a critical issue, are particularly vulnerable, with many
forced to scale back gas-fired power expansion plans when prices surge. As a
result, operators must constantly balance operational economics against market
dynamics, making fuel price volatility a significant hurdle for the sustained
growth of natural gas-fired generation globally.
Growing
Competition from Renewables
The rapid rise of renewable
energy sources such as wind and solar poses a strong competitive challenge to
natural gas-fired electricity generation. Renewable capacity additions have
surged, with more than 500 gigawatts (GW) of new renewable installations
globally in 2023, marking a record-breaking expansion. In many regions, the
levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for solar and onshore wind has dropped to
below USD 40 per megawatt-hour, compared to gas-fired generation which often
ranges between USD 60–100/MWh, depending on fuel prices. Policies in Europe,
the United States, and China strongly favor renewable deployment through
subsidies, tax incentives, and priority grid access, accelerating the
displacement of fossil fuel-based power. As renewable penetration rises, the
capacity factors of gas plants decline; for example, in Germany, average
utilization of gas-fired plants has fallen below 30% in some years, as
renewables supply a larger share of base load demand. Furthermore, investments
in battery storage and grid-scale flexibility solutions are gradually reducing
the need for gas-fired peaking plants, which were traditionally seen as
indispensable to balance renewables. The perception of gas as a “transition
fuel” is also under increasing scrutiny, with long-term energy policies in
advanced economies setting pathways toward net-zero systems that aim to
minimize gas reliance after 2035–2040. This competitive pressure not only
reduces the financial attractiveness of new gas plants but also risks stranding
existing assets, making renewable competition a critical structural challenge
for the market.
Carbon
Emissions and Environmental Regulations
Although natural gas
produces fewer emissions than coal, it still remains a fossil fuel, and rising
concerns about carbon emissions are challenging its long-term role. Burning
natural gas for power emits approximately 400–500 grams of CO₂ per
kilowatt-hour, compared with around 900–1,000 g/kWh for coal, but significantly
more than zero-emission renewable sources. Moreover, methane leakage during
extraction and transportation is a major issue, as methane is over 25 times
more potent than carbon dioxide over a 100-year timeframe. Regulators are
increasingly tightening emissions standards, with the European Union’s “Fit for
55” program and the U.S. EPA’s proposed rules targeting reductions of
greenhouse gas emissions from the power sector by 80–90% by 2035. Many
jurisdictions are also considering or have already implemented carbon pricing
schemes, with prices exceeding USD 100 per ton of CO₂ in some
European markets. Such measures directly impact the operating costs of
gas-fired plants, eroding their competitiveness against renewables. Utilities
operating gas fleets are under mounting pressure from investors to decarbonize,
further limiting financing opportunities for new projects. Without carbon
capture and storage (CCS) or hydrogen blending, natural gas-fired plants risk
becoming incompatible with long-term climate goals, creating uncertainty around
their future role in the energy mix. This regulatory and environmental burden
significantly challenges both the short- and long-term viability of gas-fired
generation globally.
Infrastructure
and Capital Investment Constraints
Natural gas-fired
electricity generation projects require substantial investment in both
generation infrastructure and supporting fuel logistics. Building a modern
combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) plant costs between USD 700–1,200 per
kilowatt of installed capacity, excluding the cost of fuel supply
infrastructure. In many developing economies, the absence of robust pipeline
networks or LNG regasification terminals creates additional capital burdens,
often requiring billions of dollars in parallel investments before a plant can
even operate. For example, a single large-scale LNG import terminal can cost
upwards of USD 1–2 billion, while cross-country pipelines often demand tens of
billions in financing. These high upfront costs can deter investment, particularly
in regions where alternative options such as renewables are more affordable and
quicker to deploy. Furthermore, rising global interest rates have increased the
cost of capital, making financing for large gas projects more challenging. In
some markets, private investors are reluctant to back long-term gas projects
due to the risk of asset stranding as countries accelerate decarbonization
policies. Even where projects are approved, delays in infrastructure
development—such as pipeline bottlenecks in Asia or permitting challenges in
Europe—often push timelines back by several years. The need for large,
integrated investments in generation and fuel logistics remains a structural
constraint that hampers the global expansion of natural gas-fired electricity generation.
Energy
Security and Geopolitical Risks
Energy security and
geopolitical tensions represent a persistent challenge to the natural gas-fired
generation market. Many regions depend heavily on imported gas, making them
vulnerable to supply disruptions. For instance, Europe historically relied on Russia
for over 35–40% of its gas supply before 2022, but geopolitical tensions led to
sharp reductions, forcing costly adjustments through LNG imports. Such
disruptions create volatility in both availability and pricing, directly
affecting electricity markets. LNG-importing countries in Asia, such as Japan,
South Korea, and India, collectively consume more than 200 BCM of gas annually,
much of it transported over long distances by sea, which exposes supply chains
to geopolitical flashpoints in areas like the Strait of Hormuz or the South
China Sea. Sudden curtailments or sanctions can result in electricity shortages
or surging prices, as witnessed during the global energy crisis of 2021–2022.
Additionally, competition between regions for LNG cargoes has at times driven
Asian spot prices to nearly double those in Europe, putting additional strain
on emerging economies. This dependency on globally traded gas markets makes
natural gas-fired generation inherently exposed to external risks that
operators cannot control. As countries seek to strengthen energy independence,
reliance on imported gas may become less desirable, limiting new investments in
gas-fired power.
Key
Market Trends
Growth in Distributed and
Small-Scale Gas Generation
Alongside large
utility-scale plants, distributed natural gas-fired generation is gaining
traction, particularly in industrial and commercial applications. Small-scale
gas turbine and reciprocating engine plants, often below 50 MW, are being
deployed to serve captive industrial facilities, hospitals, data centers, and
business parks. These plants offer localized, reliable, and often cheaper
alternatives to grid electricity, especially in regions with unreliable
transmission infrastructure. For example, industrial clusters in Asia and
Africa are increasingly adopting combined heat and power (CHP) systems that
utilize natural gas to achieve overall energy efficiencies above 70%, compared
to 35–40% for grid electricity alone. The global adoption of distributed energy
systems is accelerating, with more than 20% of new gas-fired capacity additions
in 2023 being below 100 MW in size. In North America and Europe, data
centers—whose electricity demand is projected to double by 2030—are
increasingly considering on-site gas-fired generation as a backup and
supplementary power source. The trend reflects the growing diversification of
gas-fired generation, moving beyond central grids into more flexible,
decentralized energy models that align with industrial growth and resilience
needs.
Increasing Role of Gas in
Emerging Economies
Emerging economies in Asia,
Africa, and Latin America are becoming central to demand growth for gas-fired
electricity. Countries such as India, Vietnam, and Bangladesh are investing
heavily in LNG infrastructure to meet surging electricity demand while reducing
reliance on coal. India alone recorded a 24% increase in monthly natural gas
consumption in 2023, with the power sector accounting for more than a 34% jump
in demand. Similarly, Southeast Asia is expected to double its natural
gas-fired capacity by 2030, supported by LNG imports. In Africa, nations like
Nigeria and Egypt are expanding domestic gas utilization for electricity
generation, leveraging abundant reserves to address chronic power shortages.
Latin America, particularly Brazil, is also scaling up gas-fired plants to
balance its hydropower-dominated system during drought years. The affordability
of modular CCGT and CHP systems, along with falling LNG import costs, is making
gas an attractive option for developing regions. With electricity demand in
emerging economies projected to rise by more than 60% by 2040, natural
gas-fired plants are expected to play a critical role in bridging supply gaps
and supporting industrialization.
Digitalization and Advanced
Analytics in Gas Plants
The application of digital
technologies and advanced analytics is reshaping operations in natural
gas-fired power plants. Modern turbines are increasingly equipped with IoT
sensors and predictive maintenance systems, enabling real-time monitoring of
performance and efficiency. Data-driven maintenance has been shown to reduce
unplanned outages by up to 30% and extend component lifetimes by as much as
20%, directly lowering operating costs. Digital twins—virtual replicas of
turbines and plants—are being used to simulate performance under various load
and fuel scenarios, optimizing both efficiency and emissions. Fleet operators
using AI-based optimization platforms have reported fuel savings of up to 2–3%
per unit, translating into millions of dollars annually for large-scale plants.
In addition, automation systems allow plants to ramp output more quickly to
match demand fluctuations, improving their ability to integrate with
renewable-heavy grids. Globally, over 60% of new gas turbines commissioned
since 2020 are equipped with digital monitoring systems, highlighting the
growing emphasis on smart operations. This trend enhances both the
competitiveness and sustainability of natural gas-fired power, aligning it with
modern grid requirements.
Segmental
Insights
Technology Insights
Open Cycle Gas
Turbine segment dominated in the Global Natural Gas-Fired Electricity
Generation market in 2024 due to its operational flexibility, rapid deployment
capability, and suitability for peak-load applications. Unlike combined cycle
systems, which achieve higher efficiency but require longer start-up times,
OCGTs can reach full capacity in less than 10–15 minutes, making them
indispensable for grid balancing in renewable-heavy markets. As global
renewable penetration surpassed 30% of electricity supply in 2023, the demand
for flexible backup capacity surged, reinforcing the role of OCGTs.
Additionally,
OCGTs are characterized by relatively lower capital costs, typically around USD
450–700 per kW, compared to combined cycle plants which average USD 900–1,200
per kW. This cost advantage makes them more attractive for utilities and
independent power producers in developing economies, where affordability and
speed of deployment are critical. The segment also benefits from modularity,
with units ranging from 10 MW to 200 MW, suitable for both distributed
generation and centralized peaking applications.
In emerging
markets across Africa, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East, OCGTs are
increasingly deployed to stabilize power systems facing rapid demand growth and
infrastructure limitations. For instance, several African nations have
installed small to mid-sized OCGTs in the 50–150 MW range to address immediate
electricity shortages. Moreover, rising LNG imports have improved fuel
accessibility, ensuring reliability of OCGTs in import-dependent nations.
Environmental
considerations also play a role. Although less efficient than combined cycle
plants, OCGTs emit significantly less CO₂ than coal-based
peakers, aligning with transitional decarbonization strategies. Their ability
to run on alternative fuels, such as hydrogen blends up to 30%, further
future-proofs the technology. Collectively, the combination of
cost-effectiveness, speed, operational flexibility, and adaptability underpins
the dominance of OCGTs in the global natural gas-fired electricity generation
market in 2024.
Capacity Insights
50–200 MW segment dominated the Global Natural Gas-Fired Electricity
Generation market in 2024 due
to its balance between scalability, cost efficiency, and versatility. Plants in
this range are large enough to support urban grids or industrial clusters, yet
small enough for faster installation and localized deployment compared to
gigawatt-scale facilities. Average capital costs in this segment are around USD
600–900 per kW, making them attractive to both developed and developing
economies. Additionally, they are widely used for industrial combined heat and
power (CHP) applications, enabling efficiency levels above 70%. Their modular
nature ensures faster adoption in both grid-connected and distributed setups.
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Regional
Insights
Largest Region
North America dominated the Global Natural
Gas-Fired Electricity Generation market in 2024 underpinned by abundant natural gas
reserves, advanced infrastructure, and a supportive policy environment. The
United States alone accounted for more than 950 billion cubic meters (BCM) of
natural gas production in 2023, making it the world’s largest producer. This
abundant and relatively inexpensive supply has kept fuel costs for gas-fired
plants highly competitive compared to global averages. Consequently, natural
gas accounts for nearly 40% of U.S. electricity generation, supported by
widespread adoption of combined cycle and open cycle technologies.
Infrastructure
maturity further consolidates North America’s dominance. The region is home to
over 300,000 miles of natural gas transmission pipelines and extensive LNG
export and import capacity, ensuring secure and flexible fuel availability.
Gas-fired plants in the U.S. and Canada also benefit from highly efficient
technologies, with modern combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) plants achieving
efficiencies of up to 64%, among the highest globally.
The role of
gas-fired generation as a flexible complement to renewables further strengthens
North America’s position. With renewables contributing over 25% of U.S.
electricity in 2023, gas-fired plants are critical for ensuring grid stability,
particularly during peak demand and periods of renewable intermittency.
In addition,
favorable regulatory policies and market structures, such as capacity markets
and ancillary service payments, incentivize investment in flexible gas-fired
assets. Canada and Mexico are also expanding their gas-fired fleets, with
Mexico importing over 6 BCF/day of U.S. gas to meet rising electricity demand.
Combined,
abundant domestic gas supply, advanced infrastructure, technological
efficiency, and supportive market structures make North America the clear
leader in the global natural gas-fired electricity generation market in 2024.
Emerging Region
Europe is the emerging region in the Global Natural
Gas-Fired Electricity Generation market in the coming period driven by its transition away
from coal and nuclear while expanding renewables. Following the sharp reduction
of Russian gas imports, LNG infrastructure investments surged, with
regasification capacity set to increase by 50% by 2030. Natural gas is increasingly
used as a bridging fuel to complement wind and solar, which now provide over
40% of EU electricity. Additionally, Europe is at the forefront of hydrogen
co-firing, with several pilot projects targeting 20–30% hydrogen blending. This
dual role—bridging and decarbonizing—positions Europe for strong growth.
Recent
Developments
- In July 2025, BASF
and Equinor have signed a ten-year strategic supply agreement for up to 23 TWh
of natural gas annually, commencing October 1, 2025. The deal secures a
significant portion of BASF’s European gas requirements while reinforcing
energy security and industrial resilience. Equinor emphasized that Norwegian
gas, with among the lowest production and transportation emissions globally,
will support BASF’s decarbonization efforts. The agreement underscores the
companies’ long-term collaboration and highlights natural gas as both a
reliable energy source and critical industrial feedstock.
- In February 2025, At India Energy
Week 2025, multiple strategic energy agreements were signed to enhance
security, diversify supply, and accelerate transition to a gas-based economy.
BPCL entered a term contract with Petrobras to import up to 6 million barrels
of crude, while IOCL and ADNOC finalized a USD 7 billion LNG deal for 1.2 MMTPA
over 14 years. BPCL also signed a five-year LNG offtake for 2.4 MMT.
Additionally, IOCL secured India’s first LNG export contract with Nepal’s Yogya
Holdings via Odisha’s Dhamra Terminal.
- In February 2025, ONGC and bp
entered a technical services contract for the Mumbai High field, India’s
largest offshore oil asset. ONGC retains ownership and operational control,
while bp provides expertise to stabilize declining output and drive production
growth. For two years, bp will be paid a fixed personnel fee, followed by a
service fee linked to incremental oil and gas production. The collaboration
aims to leverage bp’s technical capabilities to maximize recovery and
strengthen the long-term viability of the Mumbai High basin.
- In July 2025, ABB India
commissioned its ABB Ability™ SCADAvantage solution for THINK Gas, delivering
full automation and digitalization across its City Gas Distribution (CGD)
network spanning ten states and 19 Geographical Areas. The system integrates
over 500 CNG stations, 550,000+ DPNG connections, and 17,000 inch-km of
pipeline. Managed from a centralized control room in Chennai, the cloud-based
platform provides real-time visibility, improved operational efficiency, and
enhanced reliability. This deployment positions THINK Gas as a digitally
advanced CGD operator, strengthening service delivery to industrial,
commercial, and residential customers.
Key
Market Players
- General Electric
- Siemens
Energy
- Mitsubishi
Hitachi Power Systems
- Kawasaki
Heavy Industries
- Ansaldo
Energia
- Bharat
Heavy Electricals Limited
- ENGIE SA
- Dominion
Energy
- NTPC
Limited
- Exelon
Corp.
|
By Technology
|
By Capacity
|
By Application
|
By Region
|
- Open Cycle
Gas Turbine
- Combined
Cycle Gas Turbine
- Cogeneration
- Reciprocating
Engines
|
- Below 50 MW
- 50–200 MW
- 200–500 MW
- Above 500 MW
|
- Base Load
Power Generation
- Peaking
Power Generation
- Backup Power
Generation
- Industrial
Power Generation
- Distributed
Power Generation
|
- North
America
- Europe
- South
America
- Middle East
& Africa
- Asia Pacific
|
Report Scope:
In this report, the Global Natural Gas-Fired
Electricity Generation Market has been segmented into the following categories,
in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
- Natural Gas-Fired Electricity Generation
Market, By Technology:
o Open Cycle Gas Turbine
o Combined Cycle Gas Turbine
o Cogeneration
o Reciprocating Engines
- Natural Gas-Fired
Electricity Generation Market, By Capacity:
o Below 50 MW
o 50–200 MW
o 200–500 MW
o Above 500 MW
- Natural Gas-Fired
Electricity Generation Market, By Application:
o Base Load Power Generation
o Peaking Power Generation
o Backup Power Generation
o Industrial Power Generation
o Distributed Power Generation
- Natural Gas-Fired
Electricity Generation Market, By Region:
o North America
§
United
States
§
Canada
§
Mexico
o Europe
§
Germany
§
France
§
United
Kingdom
§
Italy
§
Spain
o South America
§
Brazil
§
Argentina
§
Colombia
o Asia-Pacific
§
China
§
India
§
Japan
§
South
Korea
§
Australia
o Middle East & Africa
§
Saudi
Arabia
§
UAE
§
South
Africa
Competitive Landscape
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies
present in the Global Natural Gas-Fired Electricity Generation Market.
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