Bakery Market to Grow with a CAGR of 6.8% through 2030
The
global bakery market is growing steadily, driven by rising demand for
convenient, indulgent, and health-focused products, rapid urbanization,
expanding online retail, and continuous innovation in ingredients and formats.
According to
TechSci Research report, “Bakery Market - Global Industry Size, Share,
Trends, Competition Forecast & Opportunities, 2030F”, the global bakery market was valued at USD 661.91 Billion in 2024 and is expected
to reach USD 982.26 Billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 6.8% during the forecast
period. The
global bakery market is evolving rapidly, shaped by a complex interplay of
shifting consumer habits, operational dynamics, and emerging global influences.
One of the core elements fueling its expansion is the growing cultural
integration of bakery consumption across geographies where such products were
not traditionally a dietary staple. Increasing cross-cultural exposure through
travel, media, and global retail chains is reshaping food preferences and
introducing bakery items into diverse cuisines. Simultaneously, urban migration
and rising workplace demands are altering eating patterns, pushing consumers
toward convenient, portable, and filling options that baked goods readily
provide. On the supply side, bakeries are capitalizing on advanced preservation
technologies that extend shelf life without compromising freshness, allowing
distribution to expand into rural and semi-urban areas where cold-chain infrastructure
is limited. Additionally, seasonal and festive marketing is being strategically
used to drive volumes, as bakery items become integral to local celebrations
and gifting cultures.
Despite
these opportunities, the market faces notable challenges, especially around
maintaining product consistency across formats and geographies. Global players
must navigate fragmented regulatory environments, with varying restrictions on
food additives, labeling standards, and allergen disclosures. This not only
increases compliance costs but also complicates product standardization.
Another growing challenge lies in managing changing input dynamics—ranging from
fluctuating labor availability to energy costs that directly affect baking
operations, especially for artisanal and mid-sized players. Moreover, rising
concerns around food waste and packaging sustainability add layers of
responsibility on manufacturers to adopt environmentally sound practices without
escalating prices. Lastly, changing consumer loyalty in the face of
overwhelming product variety poses a brand retention challenge, especially in
digital and D2C spaces where smaller players can rapidly gain market share.
Overall, while growth potential remains strong, success in the bakery market
now depends on adaptability, operational resilience, and agile brand
strategies.
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"Global Bakery Market.”
The Bakery Market
is segmented into type, distribution channel and region.
Based
on distribution channel, Online retail is one of the fastest-growing channels
in the global bakery market. The proliferation of food delivery apps,
e-commerce grocery platforms, and DTC (direct-to-consumer) bakery brands has
transformed consumer access to baked goods. Online channels cater especially
well to customized cakes, artisanal cookies, vegan products, and frozen bakery
kits. Convenience, real-time ordering, delivery tracking, and personalized
recommendations are key drivers of this channel’s popularity. Post-pandemic
consumer behavior has solidified online purchasing habits, with even
traditional bakeries now offering app-based or WhatsApp ordering. Subscription
models and influencer-led product launches are further boosting visibility and
recurring sales in this segment.
Based
on region, Asia-Pacific is
currently the fastest-growing region in the global bakery market, driven by
rapid urbanization, a rising middle-class population, and increasing
Westernization of diets. Countries like China, India, Japan, South Korea, and
Southeast Asian nations are witnessing growing demand for packaged and fresh
bakery items, particularly among younger consumers and working professionals.
Bread, cakes, and cookies are gaining popularity as breakfast and snacking
options, replacing traditional meals in many urban households. The market is
being fueled by the expansion of international bakery chains, increasing retail
penetration, and a surge in online grocery platforms. Furthermore, local
players are increasingly offering regionally adapted bakery flavors and
formats, which boosts cultural relevance. Rising health awareness is also
opening new opportunities for low-sugar, fortified, and plant-based bakery
products.
Major companies
operating in the global bakery market are:
- Grupo Bimbo S.A.B de C.V.
- Mondelez International, Inc.
- Yamazaki Baking Co. Ltd.
- Flowers Foods, Inc.
- Kellogg Company
- Campbell Soup Company
- Associated British Foods Plc
- Britannia Industries Limited
- Finsbury Food Group Plc
- Nestlé SA.
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“A key
trend in the bakery market is
sustainability has become a
critical focus area for the bakery industry, driven by increasing consumer
awareness about environmental impact, food waste, and ethical sourcing. As
consumers become more environmentally conscious, they are demanding products from
brands that actively reduce their carbon footprint, use eco-friendly packaging,
and commit to sustainable production practices. The bakery industry, which
traditionally relies heavily on plastic packaging, energy-intensive ovens, and
large-scale ingredient procurement, is now being pushed to adopt greener
alternatives. Innovations in biodegradable, compostable, and recyclable
packaging are being widely adopted, especially for single-use items like cookie
wraps, cake boxes, and takeaway containers. Many bakeries are also reducing or
eliminating the use of palm oil due to its association with deforestation,
instead opting for sustainable or certified palm oil or alternative fats. In
terms of ingredient sourcing, there is growing demand for fair-trade cocoa,
organic flour, cage-free eggs, and locally grown fruits and nuts, which not
only reduce environmental impact but also support ethical supply chains.”, said
Mr. Karan Chechi, Research Director of TechSci Research, a research-based
management consulting firm.
Bakery Market – Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Type (Bread &
Rolls, Cookies, Cakes & Pastries, Doughnuts & Muffins, Pies & Tarts,
Others), By Distribution Channel (Artisanal Bakeries/Specialty Stores,
Supermarkets/Hypermarkets, Departmental Stores, Online, and Others), By Region & Competition, 2020-2030F”,
has evaluated the future growth potential of global bakery market and provides
statistics & information on market size, structure and future market
growth. The report intends to provide cutting-edge market intelligence and help
decision makers take sound investment decisions. Besides, the report also
identifies and analyzes the emerging trends along with essential drivers,
challenges, and opportunities in the global bakery market.
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