India''s Crude Oil Demand to Rise 5.37% by 2030; Natural Gas Output Projected at 57.4 BCM

On 1st July 2025, India's energy sector is
poised for steady growth over the next few years, with crude oil demand
projected to increase by 5.37% annually until 2030. Alongside this, natural gas
production is also set to see a significant rise, reaching an estimated 57.4 billion
cubic meters (BCM) by the end of the decade, according to recent projections
from energy sector analysts and official reports.
The forecast highlights India’s
increasing energy requirements, driven by rapid urbanization,
industrialization, and economic expansion. As one of the world’s
fastest-growing major economies, India has been witnessing a sharp rise in
energy consumption across sectors including transportation, manufacturing, and
residential usage. Crude oil remains a key component of the country’s energy
basket, and this steady annual growth reflects both rising demand and limited
substitution by alternative energy sources in certain sectors.
India is currently the third-largest
consumer of crude oil globally, relying heavily on imports to meet over 85% of
its needs. With demand projected to continue its upward trend, the government
is expected to ramp up efforts to diversify its energy sources, improve
refining capacity, and boost strategic petroleum reserves. At the same time,
policymakers are likely to increase focus on energy security and supply chain
resilience.
Parallelly, the country’s natural gas
output is anticipated to see healthy growth. Production is expected to rise to
57.4 BCM by 2030, driven by new discoveries, increased exploration activity,
and ongoing reforms in the gas pricing and distribution ecosystem. The
government has set an ambitious target to increase the share of natural gas in
India’s energy mix from the current 6% to 15% by 2030. To support this shift,
significant investments are being made in pipeline infrastructure, city gas
distribution networks, and LNG import terminals.
The growth in natural
gas output also aligns with India’s broader environmental goals, as natural gas
is considered a cleaner alternative to coal and oil. As the country moves
toward a lower-carbon future, the role of natural gas is expected to grow in power
generation, industry, and transportation.